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Fiji’s fragile politics, erosion of trust after 2025 and the road ahead

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By Shailendra B. Singh

“You want a friend in Washington? Get a dog.” Although made in an American context, this observation by President Harry S. Truman has universal appeal. It highlights the unpredictable and treacherous nature of politics, whether it’s the chameleon-like antics of politicians or the fickleness of voters. The precariousness of politics was felt most acutely in Suva as recently as October 2025.

Few anticipated that two of Fiji’s three deputy prime ministers, elected with much fanfare in December 2022, would be forced to resign over allegations of failure of ministerial integrity. The Fiji Independent Commission Against Corruption is an autonomous body, at least constitutionally, but Biman Prasad and Manoa Kamikamica’s indictments still sparked speculation about political conspiracies and high-level skulduggery. This political earthquake was far removed from the euphoria of the People’s Alliance Coalition’s election victory over the FijiFirst Government — won on the promise of a fresh start.

Led by Prime Minister Sitiveni Rabuka, the People’s Alliance Party’s partnership with the National Federation Party and the Social Democratic Liberal Party secured electoral victory on a show of unity and a set of vote-winning pledges: cost-of-living relief, curbing government wastage and greater media freedom. Restoring media freedom was relatively straightforward, perhaps because it was cost-free, and was implemented almost immediately through the repeal of the draconian Media Industry Development Act.

Other pledges — such as addressing the national debt and the budget deficit — proved far more difficult, in part because of global economic conditions. So too did resisting the urge to increase parliamentary salaries, which rose by 130–138 percent. Additional benefits were added for good measure: tax-free vehicle purchases for cabinet ministers, increased overseas travel allowances for the prime minister and president, and non-taxable duty allowances, business-class travel, and enhanced life insurance coverage for MPs.

In comparison to other jurisdictions, the salary increases may not, in themselves, be unreasonable. The core problem, as noted by some observers, is that Parliament should not be determining its own benefits. The approvals also stunned many because of the Coalition’s longstanding criticism of FijiFirst over pay levels, and its pre-election pledges to slash them.

Moreover, questions were raised about affordability given Fiji’s ballooning debt and deficit, which the Coalition had pledged to address as part of its plan to eliminate what it saw as the excesses of the previous FijiFirst Government. Increasing parliamentary benefits seemed an odd way of honouring those commitments. There is also the question of whether taxpayers are getting value for money.

Perhaps the increase in benefits should not have been entirely surprising, as such outcomes are often consistent with the realities of politics in Fiji and elsewhere. So much so that Wales, for example, is considering becoming the world’s first country to introduce laws that would allow politicians to lose their jobs for deliberately lying during election campaigns.

Fijian voters, who may be disillusioned, are not entirely powerless. With elections scheduled for next year, they may well turn the tables on their representatives by springing a few surprises at the ballot box. Governance, after all, is a shared responsibility between the government and the governed. Voters usually get the government they vote for, and recent experiences are a reminder of the importance of informed political participation and the prudent use of voting power.

Especially when, as a nation, Fiji has a long and arguably worsening experience with unfulfilled or broken promises, whether by politicians or coup leaders.

Fiji’s coup culture and its fallout are a reminder of the saying: “The road to hell is paved with good intentions.”

The coups of 1987 and 2000 were carried out by political and military elites claiming to represent indigenous iTaukei interests, while the 2006 coup was justified on the grounds of good governance, equality and national unity. It is safe to assume that none of these utopian promises has fully materialised. The country appears more divided than ever, and too many people remain trapped in poverty.

According to World Bank estimates, of the roughly 258,000 people (29.9%) living in poverty, about 75% are iTaukei — underscoring how ordinary communities bear the costs of elite power struggles rather than benefit from them.

Coup instigators’ rhetoric is one thing, but what is more troubling is that elected leaders increasingly seem unbothered by going back on their word — even by their own low standards of keeping election promises. Granted, structural pressures typical of a young, transitional democracy like Fiji can make reforms around debt and budget deficits complex and difficult.

However, successive governments are failing even when it comes to basic good governance policies and practices, which are often pillars of sustainable development.

As part of its self-proclaimed “clean-up campaign”, the ousted FijiFirst Government promised many things, including merit-based appointments to boards and other government positions. Instead, appointments were frequently made on the basis of offspring, as at the Fiji Sports Council; siblings, as at the Fiji Broadcasting Corporation; and in-laws and cronies across various institutions.

This was rightly criticised by the Coalition when in opposition, with promises to address the problem once in power. But has the Coalition honoured its word, or are we seeing more of the same?

Some observers argue that under the FijiFirst Government, appointments made in the name of merit disproportionately marginalised iTaukei representation in certain areas. Against this backdrop, the Coalition’s approach has been described by some as a form of “rebalancing” through prioritising iTaukei candidates.

The concern now is whether the pendulum has swung too far in the other direction, with appointments continuing to be made largely on the basis of family ties, clanship, kinship and friendship.

These questions go beyond due process. Appointments to key positions shape the country’s long-term progress and development. Merit should not become an afterthought, nor should appointments result in blatant exclusion, as both undermine confidence in the system and risk exacerbating Fiji’s brain drain across all ethnicities, including among qualified iTaukei.

This possibility was raised recently by the Chair of the Great Council of Chiefs (GCC), Ratu Viliame Seruvakula, who stated that Fiji needed other races to progress. “If every other race left Fiji, we’d be doing exactly what we were doing to cause more pain to the country,” he said.

As Truman noted, politics can be a dirty game. To make it cleaner, politicians must be accountable and guided by a long-term vision. One way to ensure politicians take voters seriously is to punish them at the polls when they fail to keep their promises.

This is the path to a healthier, performance-based political system — driven by respect for, and fear of, the voter’s power. Achieving this depends not only on politicians but also on an engaged, ethical and informed electorate that votes on issues rather than race, religion, party or personality.

As the country entered 2026, Prime Minister Rabuka offered a welcoming New Year’s message, emphasising teamwork, unity and inclusiveness: “Fijians must work together with faith, hope, and shared responsibility to overcome challenges and build a stronger, united nation.”

He reminded the country that the Coalition Government was elected on a “promise of integrity, inclusion and reform”. Since these virtues were the Coalition’s mantra and winning formula in 2022, the government would do well to apply them consistently in its daily decisions and long-term vision.

The bottom line, as alluded to by the GCC chair, is that indigenous leadership now plays a central role in shaping Fiji’s political direction. With that power comes a duty to build a country that works for future generations of iTaukei while ensuring that ethnic minorities continue to feel included and valued as equal stakeholders in a shared future.

Dr Shailendra B. Singh is Associate Professor of Pacific Journalism at The University of the South Pacific, based in Suva, Fiji, and a member of the advisory board of the Pacific Journalism Review.

2025 confirmed as one of the warmest years on Record in the Western Pacific

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New climate data shows that 2025 was the fifth warmest year ever recorded in the western Pacific, continuing a long-term warming trend that is reshaping conditions across the region.

According to ERA5, a global climate dataset from the Copernicus Climate Change Service, 2025 was the third warmest year on record worldwide, following 2024 and 2023.

In the western Pacific, it ranked fifth warmest since 1940, with January, February, March, May, and October all among the hottest months ever observed.

Across the region, the average air temperature in 2025 was 0.65 °C higher than the 1961–1990 baseline. Pacific temperatures have been rising steadily—about 0.1 °C per decade since 1940—and every year since 1986 has been warmer than the long-term average. Notably, the five warmest years on record have all occurred since 2016.

In 2025, unusually warm conditions were especially strong over the western equatorial Pacific and the Coral Sea, including areas around Papua New Guinea and New Caledonia. These patterns are likely linked to record high sea surface temperatures in the same areas.

Photo: SPREP

Meanwhile, parts of the central tropical Pacific experienced cooler than average air temperatures, reflecting sea surface temperature patterns associated with neutral ENSO or La Niña conditions.

Both daytime and nighttime temperatures were significantly warmer than usual in 2025. Maximum temperatures were 0.68 °C above average, and minimum temperatures were 0.63 °C above average, placing both in the top five highest on record.

Monitoring air temperature in the Pacific remains essential. Regional temperature trends do not always match global averages, and even small increases can have major impacts on health, food security, ecosystems, and daily life across Pacific communities.

“The Pacific is warming, and the science is clear,” said Salesa Nihmei, Director of SPREP’s Climate Science and Information Programme.

“Through the Pacific Regional Climate Centre Network and support from regional programmes such as the Climate and Oceans Support Program in the Pacific (COSPPac), we are turning regional climate data into practical outlooks that help Pacific countries anticipate risks and take early action to protect lives and livelihoods.”

This assessment is supported by the Australia and New Zealand-funded Climate and Ocean Support Programme in the Pacific (COSPPac), now in its third phase. COSPPac’s annual state of long-term change service ensures that climate information is useful – meeting real public information needs, usable – accurate, timely, and easy to understand, and used – informing Pacific government planning, climate assessments, and international negotiations.

The continued warming of the Pacific highlights the importance of reliable climate information and sustained regional support to help communities prepare for ongoing change.

Fiji Government accepts High Court ruling, rules out appeal

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The Fiji Government has confirmed it will not appeal a recent High Court ruling in the case against former Fiji Independent Commission Against Corruption (FICAC) Commissioner, reaffirming its commitment to the rule of law and judicial independence.

“The Government acknowledges the ruling recently delivered by the High Court in HBJ 5/2025 Barbara Malimali v The President of Fiji and Ors (‘Ruling’) and expresses its appreciation to the Judiciary for its careful and independent adjudication of the matter,” the Government said in a statement.

It said the decision was reached after legal advice and consultations with the President.

“Following due and deliberate consideration, and after obtaining legal advice and further consultations with His Excellency, The President, the Government has resolved that it will not pursue an appeal against the Ruling,” the statement said.

The Government noted that the original decision under review was based on senior legal advice but said it fully accepts the Court’s findings.

“While the decision that was subject of judicial review was made on the basis of legal advice provided by a learned King’s Counsel, the Government fully respects the ruling of the Court,” it said.

The statement said the High Court decision highlighted the importance of the Judiciary’s role within Fiji’s constitutional system.

“The decision of the High Court underscores the vital role of the Judiciary in upholding justice and ensuring fairness for all citizens,” the Government said.

“It is a testament to the strength of Fiji’s legal framework, which enshrines the separation of powers and ensures that judicial decisions are free from political interference,” it said.

The Government said it will respect the next steps outlined by the Court.

“Accordingly, as provided for in the Ruling, the Government acknowledges and respects the constitutional mandate of the Judicial Services Commission to deliberate on the matter and bring it to its conclusion,” the statement said.

Prime Minister Sitiveni Rabuka reaffirmed the Government’s confidence in Fiji’s institutions.

“The Prime Minister Sitiveni Rabuka reiterates the Government’s confidence in Fiji’s democratic institutions and affirms its continued commitment to good governance, accountability, judicial independence and the separation of powers among the three branches of government, said the statement.

Pacific unites for financial disaster defence

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Addressing one of the “most formidable challenges facing Pacific Island nations”—the urgent need for institutional and financial resilience against escalating natural catastrophes—PCRIC Board Chair Siosiua ‘Utoikamanu has called for regional unity and visionary leadership.

He delivered this message at the opening of the three-day Pacific Regional Disaster Resilience Financing Workshop in Suva.

“Our future security is fundamentally predicated upon the strength of our regional partnership,” Utoikamanu told senior officials, donors, and partners, emphasising that the Pacific’s shared geographic vulnerabilities demand collective solutions and decisive action.

Since its inception in 2016, the Pacific Catastrophe Risk Insurance Company (PCRIC) has played a pivotal role in disaster risk management, providing immediate financial support to member nations after disasters while also building long-term capacity for climate and disaster risk financing.

“We provide rapid equity and essential cash support to member nations in the immediate aftermath of a disaster, ensuring that fiscal stability is maintained during periods of crisis,” said ‘Utoikamanu.

He highlighted that natural disasters in the Pacific are far from theoretical, as “these events exert profound pressure on national budgets, disrupt essential services, and threaten the development gains we have painstakingly secured over decades.”

The three-day workshop, convened with support from the Asian Development Bank, CDP, SPC, and others, aims to deepen regional understanding, close gaps, and refine strategies for disaster risk financing.

‘Utoikamanu urged participants to leave not only with technical knowledge but with “a renewed sense of sovereign ownership,” calling them to serve as “the architects of resilience within your respective administrations.”

He concluded with a challenge to Pacific leaders: “The efficiency of disaster risk financing is not solely dependent on institutional mechanism. It requires visionary leadership… Your leadership is the bridge between theoretical preparedness and the practical protection of our people.”

As the region faces the increasing frequency and cost of disasters, the workshop is set to drive robust discussion and greater collaboration to protect the Pacific’s future.

Looking south: Marshall Islands president visits Australia

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By Nic Maclellan

Marshall Islands President Dr Hilda C. Heine has made a state visit to Australia, the first by a Marshallese leader in more than three decades.

Her meetings with Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese and senior ministers come at a time when the United States has withdrawn its Ambassador from Majuro. The Trump administration has also withdrawn from dozens of UN agencies and multilateral institutions – including global climate agreements of vital importance to the atoll nation.

The Republic of Marshall Islands (RMI) delegation, led by President Heine and Foreign Minister Kalani Kaneko, held meetings in Canberra with Prime Minister Albanese, Foreign Minister Penny Wong and Minister for Pacific Island Affairs Pat Conroy, who pledged support for RMI’s Resilience and Adaptation Trust Fund.

Describing Heine as “a trailblazing Pacific leader – exemplifying the importance and impact of women in leadership in the Pacific,” Senator Wong also announced Australian support for Women United Together Marshall Islands, a leading women’s rights organisation in Majuro.

Meeting Prime Minister Albanese, Heine discussed the climate emergency and Australia’s role in the lead up to this year’s Pacific Islands Forum in the Republic of Palau.

After the failure of the ALP government’s bid to host COP31 in South Australia later this year, Australia’s Climate and Energy Minister Chris Bowen recently met the troika of Pacific Island Forum leaders – the past, current and future chairs – to discuss plans for a pre-COP meeting in the Pacific. This meeting would be an opportunity to highlight regional climate priorities in the lead up to this year’s global COP negotiations, to be held in Antalya, Türkiye between 9-20- November, where Bowen will serve as head of negotiations (a consolation prize after Türkiye’s President Erdogan refused to stand aside for Australia to host the COP).

Heine’s visit to Australia comes as the Trump administration has announced U.S withdrawal from key climate treaties and institutions. After withdrawing from the Paris Agreement on Climate Change on his first day in office in 2025, President Donald Trump has now gone further, announcing that the United States will withdraw from the United National Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) – the only country in the world to stand outside the global framework.

Looking south

In a statement this week, President Heine welcomed closer ties to Australia, and “recognised the soon‑to‑be‑opened Australian Embassy in Majuro as a major milestone in the bilateral relationship.”

For decades, Australia has played a limited role in the three U.S Freely Associated States in Micronesia: the Republic of Palau, Federated States of Micronesia and Republic of Marshall Islands. But it is becoming harder to ignore the strategic importance of the northern Pacific, as successive U.S administrations increase military build-up in Hawai’i and Guam, and expend new infrastructure across Micronesia, including airstrips on Yap, Tinian, and Peleliu that will allow the dispersal of U.S forces from Guam in times of conflict.

RMI has extensive ties to the United States, through Compact funding, provision of US federal services, and migration rights to the United States (with a large Marshallese community living in Arkansas).

The islands are also vital for U.S warfighting strategy in the Asia-Pacific region, hosting the U.S Kwajalein Atoll missile testing range. The US base is used to test new anti-missile defence systems, and serves as the splashdown point for intercontinental ballistic missiles test-fired from Vandenburg Space Force Base in California.

Together with Tuvalu and Palau, RMI is one of only three Forum member countries that has diplomatic ties to Taiwan. Both Washington and Canberra are eager to bolster the remaining Taiwan-aligned Pacific states against Chinese influence (since 2019, the People’s Republic of China has replaced Taiwan as diplomatic partner of choice in Solomon Islands, Kiribati and Nauru).

Seeking new friends

Despite ongoing strategic and economic ties with Washington, Dr Heine’s visit to Australia – the first by an RMI President since 1993 – reflects collapsing U.S hegemony in the region, as island nations seek new friends.

Currently serving her second term in office, President Heine has long sought to extend diplomatic and development ties to other partners. This effort has only increased since the second Trump administration reduced funding for federal services, abandoned climate action and withdrew the US Ambassador from Majuro.

Last month, the United States announced it would withdraw immediately from the Green Climate Fund (GCF), the global climate finance mechanism, and give up its seat on the GCF Board. The Trump administration, as it assaults scientific and environmental agencies across the United States, has also abandoned the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), the global scientific network that prepares Assessment Reports on the state of the climate emergency and projections of future adverse effects.

Given the vital importance of climate science, climate finance and climate action for the low-lying atoll nation, it’s hardly a surprise that the Marshall Islands is looking elsewhere for partners.

In October 2023, RMI renewed its Compact of Free Association with the United States, with the Biden Administration pressing for an urgent agreement despite unresolved issues (including Washington’s refusal to address longstanding Marshallese calls for extra resources to respond to the health and environmental effects of U.S nuclear testing).

However, when this correspondent visited Majuro in March 2024, the U.S Congress has not yet passed legislation that would begin the transfer of US$7.1 billion dollars pledged to the three Compact States over the next 20 years. Speaking to Islands Business at the time, President Heine was open about her concern over disfunction in the U.S legislature and suggested “we are now at the crossroads with our relationship with the United States.”

President Heine warned: “At some point, our nation to needs seriously consider other options available to us if the U.S is unable or unwilling to keep its commitments to us. Our nation has been a steadfast ally of the United States, but that should not be taken for granted.”

Regional support

At the annual meetings of Pacific Island Forum leaders, President Heine has championed more urgent action on the climate emergency. She has also sought regional allies to press Washington on the health, environmental and cultural legacies of 67 U.S nuclear tests on Bikini and Enewetak atolls. Speaking at the 2024 Pacific Islands Forum in Tonga, Heine said: “We emphasise the need for regional solidarity in addressing not only historical injustices but also the ongoing challenges associated with nuclear testing.”

To advance this agenda, the Marshall Islands has twice won a seat on the United Nations Human Rights Council (HRC). At the Nuku’alofa Forum, President Heine said: “We are now working to reshape the narrative, from being victims to one of active agency, in helping to shape our own future and the world around us. Having a small island developing state like the Marshall Islands on the [Human Rights] Council ensures diversity, ensures a focus on those that are the most vulnerable to human rights violations.”

Through its HRC membership, the RMI National Nuclear Commission worked with the UN Office of the High Commissioner for Human Rights (OHCHR) to investigate the impact of the U.S nuclear testing on human rights. In 2024, OHCHR published a major report to the HRC on “the challenges and barriers to the full realisation and enjoyment of human rights stemming from the nuclear legacy.”

Once again, current U.S policies have undercut this initiative – last year, President Trump withdrew the United States from the HRC, part of a wider assault on multilateral agencies.

Last month, in a further blow to U.S regional influence, the Trump administrations withdrew three U.S ambassadors accredited to eight Forum member countries, before the end of their normal term – including Ambassador to the Republic of the Marshall Islands Laura Stone, who only took up her post in July 2024.

Stone is a 35-year career diplomat with extensive service across the globe, including a stint as State Department Deputy Assistant Secretary for China, Taiwan, Hong Kong, and Mongolia. But the replacement of foreign service officers like Stone by political appointees is a hallmark of Trump’s diplomatic practice, surrounding himself with business cronies and “America First” ideologues, while spurning the expertise of career public servants.

So, with more than three decades between presidential state visits to Australia, the current trip by an RMI delegation was making a point to Washington. In Canberra, the RMI government was also sending a message to the Albanese government on the need for urgent climate action.

President Heine has long called for developed countries to step up their contribution of climate finance for adaptation and loss and damage. But she joins other Forum leaders concerned that the Albanese government has continued to expand exploration and exports of fossil fuels since its May 2022 election.

As major OECD nations in Europe and North America slash their overseas development assistance budgets – diverting resources to re-armament and the modernisation of nuclear arsenals – Australia will be expected to do more in the Pacific islands, as Forum member states move beyond old alliances to expand their global networks.

Fijian Drua pledge toughness on road as Mataele eyes World Cup

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A Fiji homecoming is sparking Manasa Mataele’s Rugby World Cup dream as the electric winger vows to roll up his sleeves for the Drua.

The 29-year-old has arrived home after eye-catching Super Rugby Pacific stints with the Crusaders, Chiefs and Western Force.

Trademark running rugby has ensured the Drua have flourished at home since their 2022 debut season, winning 15 of 22 games across Suva and Lautoka.

But they boast just three wins in four seasons on foreign soil.

“This is where the leaders have come into it and impressed that point,” Mataele told AAP.

“How we can be consistent away from home?

“The main thing is to play the moment, not looking too far ahead. And our aggression shouldn’t change, whether we’re away or home.”

Mataele’s inclusion is a welcome one after the Drua, who begin their campaign in Lautoka against Moana Pasifika next Saturday, after being gutted in the offseason.

Mainstay and captain Tevita Ikanivere, Caleb Muntz, Ratu Leone Rotuisolia, Selestino Ravutaumada, and star midfeidler Iosefo Masi have all departed.

But former Wallabies and Force halfback Issak Fines-Leleiwasa, who has Fijian heritage, and lock Temo Mayanavanua, back from Europe, will add starch alongside Mataele.

“What can you do? You can’t stop that,” Mataele said of the inevitable player drain of Fijian stars to cashed-up foreign leagues.

“But the chemistry we have here has been really good and we’re coming back home with some expertise.

“Something I want to drive (is to) enjoy working hard.

“The ceiling is very high for our team. It’s about seeing what we can do with what we have and how far we can go.”

Mataele, who played the last of his four Tests in 2022, is known for his strong carries and brilliant offloads.

There is a long line of explosive, younger backs jostling for spots but Mataele believes, after an injury-riddled career that includes a fracture spine that had him contemplating retirement, he still has plenty to offer the world No.8 side.

“The World Cup’s the goal, for next year, and one of the reasons I came back home was for that, really,” he said.

“To put my best foot forward and hopefully put that white jersey back on.

“To play in front of family and friends (for the Drua) … the crowd, it’s crazy. It’s going to be very cool, very emotional and very different to playing at other clubs,” he said.

SPREP regrets U.S exit, warns Pacific still in Climate emergency

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The Secretariat of the Pacific Regional Environment Programme (SPREP) has expressed regret over the United States’ decision to withdraw from the regional body, while warning that the Pacific remains in a state of climate emergency.

SPREP Director General Sefanaia Nawadra said the organisation remains focused on addressing the interconnected crises facing the region.

“Our work to cushion our Pacific communities against the impacts of the triple planetary crises of climate change, biodiversity loss, and waste and pollution remains at the forefront of everything we do,” Nawadra said in a statement.

“As Pacific people, we fully understand the severity of the challenges and SPREP is actively engaged on several fronts to ensure a resilient Pacific environment, sustaining our livelihoods and natural heritage in harmony with our cultures,” he said.

Nawadra said the United States’ withdrawal presents an early challenge for the year, particularly given the region’s geopolitical context.

“The announcement by the United States (U.S) of its withdrawal from SPREP, being one of 66 international bodies deemed to be ‘contrary to U.S national interests’ is an early challenge for the year,” he said.

“A lot of questions were asked about the implications, especially in the face of a fiercely contested region, geopolitically. The biggest potential loss for us, apart from the political presence of the U.S as valued member, are the many strong working relationships we have built with U.S technical agencies and organisations,” Nawadra said.

He said SPREP respects the United States’ decision while remaining guided by its mandate from Pacific leaders.

“We respect the sovereignty of the United States in making this decision, but I am comforted that all our actions have been within the mandate given to us by our Members,” he said.

“Our Pacific leaders have repeatedly stated that climate change represents the single greatest threat to our people, threatening livelihoods, security, and our very existence, we as a region remain in a state of climate emergency,” Nawadra said.

“SPREP will continue to advocate strongly and unceasingly for all countries to rally together and deepen their commitments under the Paris Agreement to ensure we are at the forefront of critical efforts to keep 1.5 to stay alive,” he said.

Nawadra said climate priorities of Pacific member countries will remain central to SPREP’s work, including engagement in global climate negotiations.

“The climate change priorities of our member countries in the Pacific will continue to be a central focus of SPREP’s work,” he said.

“We applaud Australia and the Pacific Small Island Developing States together with New Zealand for our strong bid to host COP 31,” Nawadra said.

“In a perfect world and with fair governance we would have had the privilege of hosting here in the Pacific for the first time, but COP 30 decided otherwise and we will support the journey to Turkiye,” he said.

He said SPREP is focused on ensuring strong Pacific outcomes from future climate talks.

“We are excited by the opportunities provided to the Pacific for hosting the pre-COP and the role of Australia as ‘President of Negotiations.’ We will be doing all we can to ensure that COP 31 is the ‘Pacific COP’ hosted in Turkiye,” Nawadra said.

Nawadra also welcomed the entry into force of the BBNJ Agreement as a major win for the region’s ocean leadership.

“A victory is the entry into force of the Agreement on the Conservation and Sustainable Use of Marine Biological Diversity in Areas Beyond National Jurisdiction (BBNJ) under the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea following years of negotiations,” he said.

“It is a welcome positive outcome for Pacific’s continued global leadership on ocean and marine conservation,” Nawadra said.

“The BBNJ Agreement is an opportunity to extend our wise stewardship beyond our EEZs, in particular within the International water pockets between Pacific EEZs and into the areas surrounding our collective EEZs,” he said.

“It is also an opportunity to link our large marine protected areas and fisheries management areas into corridors that can better conserve and manage migratory species and meet our 30X30 commitments,” Nawadra said.

SPC welcomes Dr Paula Vivili as 23rd Director-General

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The Pacific Community (SPC) has formally welcomed Dr Paula Vivili as its 23rd Director-General following his arrival in Noumea, New Caledonia, home to SPC Headquarters.

Dr Vivili’s official welcome brought together SPC staff, representatives of the host government and administrations of France and New Caledonia, as well as customary authorities.

The Kanak custom was performed in his honour, marking the significance of culture, tradition and partnership in SPC’s work across the Pacific.

Director-General Vivili was welcomed on arrival by the host country and administration, highlighting the importance of SPC’s presence in New Caledonia. Ahead of the official ceremony, he paid courtesy calls on Véronique Roger-Lacan, Ambassador for France in the Pacific, and Jacques-Marie Billant, reaffirming the long-standing cooperation between SPC and France as a member of the organisation.

SPC said Dr Vivili, a Pacific Islander, assumes leadership of the organisation as it continues to build on the work of previous Directors-General.

SPC staff have pledged their support as Dr Vivili leads the organisation forward, guided by its core values of generosity, stewardship, unity and care.

The organisation reaffirmed its commitment to serving its members and supporting communities across the Blue Pacific.

A realm of possibility: Can deep-sea mining take place in 2026?

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By Aaliyah Rogan

Deep-sea mining could optimistically begin ramping up from late 2026 to early 2027, according to Ilya Epikhim, Principal at Arthur D. Little.

This news comes after the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) finalised a new rule under the Deep Seabed Hard Mineral Resources Act (DSHMRA) which modernises and streamlines the permitting process for US entities, as previously reported.

As a result of this new rule, The Metals Company (NASDAQ:TMC) may potentially be able to accelerate its plans to collect battery-grade metals from the deep seabed.

TMC has submitted a consolidated application, covering 65,000km2 for polymetallic nodule collection in the Pacific’s Clarion-Clipperton Zone (CCZ) – which hosts an estimated trillion dollars worth of critical metals, as reported by this news service.

Speaking to Mining.com.au, Epikhim says following U.S President Trump’s executive order in April, NOAA has been directed to expedite the licencing process, making a final decision by late 2026 a realistic possibility.

“That said, mining at true commercial scale is more likely in 2027-2028,” he notes.

“Current nodule lifting tests have only been conducted at relatively small volumes, and the full system still needs to be tested at scale. A ramp-up period will be unavoidable.

“Sustainability will hinge on system design, monitoring, and whether large-scale operations can demonstrate materially lower environmental and social impact compared to terrestrial mining.”

Epikhim adds that the revised framework allows for a combined exploration and mining licence, enabling engineering development, environmental assessment, and financing to proceed in parallel rather than sequentially.

“NOAA has effectively created a single on-ramp: one application that unlocks both exploration and recovery. This is what brings late 2026 into the realm of possibility,” he tells this news service.

Closing the gap

Deep-sea mining refers to the process of extracting mineral deposits from the ocean floor, typically at depths greater than 200m.

Nauru, a small island northeast of Australia, is focused on ensuring that future extractive activities are done responsibly.

Since becoming the first developing state to sponsor a polymetallic nodule exploration contract in the Reserved Area of the CCZ, Nauru and its sponsored entity, Nauru Ocean Resources Inc (NORI) have taken a leading role in shaping the deep-sea mining industry, as reported.

Polymetallic nodules offer the cleanest source of critical base metals.

Epikhim says if executed at scale, seabed mining could have a “positive impact” on the global energy transition.

“Many onshore resources are depleting, increasingly difficult to extract, or uneconomic. At the same time, concern is growing around future copper, nickel and cobalt availability given projected demand.”

Critical minerals, such as copper, is the top performing trend in Deloitte Global’s Tracking the Trends 2026 report, following it being in the spotlight of global national security discussions.

According to S&P Global, the pace of electrification is set to swell copper demand to 42 million tonnes by 2040, representing a 50 percent increase from current levels.

Global copper production is forecast to peak in 2030 at 33 million tonnes. The widening disconnect will result in a supply deficit of 10 million tonnes by 2040 – which is 25% below the projected demand. The gap widens further when additional areas emerge, such as artificial intelligence (AI) and data centres.

The total installed capacity for all data centres is forecast to be roughly 550 gigawatts by 2040 – more than five times what it was in 2022. Concurrently, global defence spending could double to US$6 trillion by 2040 amid increased international tensions.

Both of these vectors are expected to triple by 2040, as reported by S&P Global, representing a combined 4 million tonnes of additional demand.

Meeting this demand requires adding the equivalent of roughly 300 Hoover Dams, or more than 650 one-gigawatt nuclear reactors, each year between now and 2040.

Epikhim says that environmentally responsible seabed mining could help close the critical minerals supply gap.

“From an industry perspective, it would stimulate demand for advanced mining technologies, equipment manufacturing, autonomous operations, and next-generation processing and materials handling,” he says.

“This is particularly relevant for polymetallic nodules, as well as other deep-sea resources such as cobalt-rich crusts and seafloor massive sulphides.”

Cobalt-rich crusts are ferromanganese deposits found on seafloor seamounts at depths between 400-7,000m. These crusts form as metals precipitate from cold seawater onto the rock surfaces of underwater mountains – primarily composed of manganese and iron oxides, concentrating metals such as cobalt, nickel, and rare earths.

Seafloor massive sulphides are metal-rich mineral deposits formed by hydrotherm vents on the ocean floor primarily at mid-ocean ridges and volcanic arcs. These copper, zinc, gold, and silver-rich deposits are created when magma-heated seawater leaches metals and precipitates them.

An underwater intersection

Due to the developments surrounding deep-sea mining, Epikhim believes that a split market is likely to emerge, where “clean-battery” brands avoid seabed minerals versus defence, strategic, and price-sensitive buyers prioritising security of supply.

A split market reflects two fundamentally different buyer logics. For instance, one side is brand-led buyers such as electric vehicle manufacturers and consumer electronics companies, while the other side is state-linked, defence, infrastructure, and price-sensitive buyers.

“In my view, the latter group will dominate in terms of volume and strategic influence,” Epikhim says.

“Moreover, traceability can be obscured through trading practices such as blending. If sea-bed derived nickel or cobalt is discounted, traders will have incentives to mix it into broader supply streams and resell it into so-called clean channels.”

According to Epikhim, seabed metals sit at the intersection of supply security, geopolitics, and reputational risk.

“For governments, they represent a strategic hedge against China-dominated supply chains. For companies, they offer optionality – but with significant environmental, social and governance (ESG) exposure,” he adds.

As previously reported, the Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO) has developed tools and frameworks designed to support environmental decision-making around potential deep-sea mining activities.

The research consortium – CSIRO, Griffith University, Museums Victoria, the University of the Sunshine Coast, and Earth Sciences New Zealand – used an ecosystem-based management framework to assess environmental risks and develop management strategies that can adapt as new knowledge emerges.

Deep sea mining

Key outcomes of the eight reports include a definition of serious harm using a traffic light system, a full ecosystem model of the Clarion-Clipperton Zone (CCZ), a suite of environmental indicators, a risk-based management process, and a quantitative risk assessment.

CSIRO reports models and observations suggest that there is a disconnection between the bathypelagic (at depths between 1,000-3,000m) and epipelagic (upper ocean down to 200m) zone in the CCZ, meaning the transfer of impacts from deep-sea mining is constrained.

The research looked at functional groups at the species level, finding that some groups may be quick to recover if disturbed by mining, while others may be slow to recover, or not recover at all.

Despite the potential impacts of seabed mining, governments are beginning to support domestic processing capabilities, and seabed metals are becoming increasingly considered as part of a strategic resource basket.

For example, Nauru and the U.S, as well as China which holds the highest number of exploration contracts with the International Seabed Authority (ISA). Other countries include Norway and the UK which are pursuing commercial mining in their own waters and sponsoring exploration licences, respectively.

Epikhim says the revised NOAA rules consolidate what has been a previously fragmented, sequential process into a single licence-and-permit pathway with clearer timelines and fewer institutional hand-offs.

In contrast, Epikhim adds that the ISA has struggled to adopt the Mining Code due to internal divisions among member states.

The ISA Mining Code is a set of rules, regulations and procedures issued by the organisation to govern prospecting, exploration and potential exploitation of marine minerals in the international seabed area.

“Without expedited adoption of the Mining Code, the ISA risks an existential credibility challenge – particularly if commercial activity proceeds outside its framework,” Epikhim says.

“The implicit message is clear: finalise the code, or risk the world discovering it can mine without you,” says. Epikhim.

Pacific move PRF from agreement to action

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Pacific Islands Forum members have begun the next phase of work on the Pacific Resilience Facility (PRF), following the signing of the Agreement to Establish the Facility at the 54th Pacific Islands Forum Leaders Meeting in Solomon Islands in 2025.

Endorsed by Forum Leaders, the PRF is the first Pacific-led, Pacific-owned and Pacific-managed regional financing facility dedicated to strengthening climate and disaster resilience for Pacific communities most exposed to the impacts of climate change.

The PRF also marks a first for the region as the first international financial institution to be collectively owned by Pacific Islands Forum member governments.

Photo: PIFS

This week in Fiji, senior officials from Forum member countries are meeting for the inaugural PRF programming co-design workshop. The meeting launches a series of consultations that will shape the Facility’s operating modalities and implementation pathways.

The co-design process begins with Forum member governments and will expand to include regional and national stakeholders, reinforcing the PRF’s commitment to inclusive, Pacific-driven solutions based on regional priorities and lived experience.

The programming workshop will be followed by a PRF Legal and Financial Rules Workshop, as members continue work to operationalise the Facility.

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